Finance

EV Commodity Prices Are Firmly Elevated Heading Into September

By Priced In News Staff

Source: Kalshi market “EV commodity prices on Sep 1, 2026”

virtually certain (99%)
Leading outcome Above 1191.24 99% Virtually certain · C
24h move 0.0 pts Above 1191.24
Traded 24h $49K $49K all time
Resolves by 2026-09-02 in 1 day

Where the money stands

Above 1191.24 99% 0.0
Above 1171.24 98% 0.0
Above 1181.24 98% 0.0
Above 1201.24 98% 0.0
Above 1211.24 98% 0.0
Above 1221.24 96% 0.0
View the market on Kalshi ← Front Page

More from Finance

Finance

Anthropic's Mythos-Class Model Is Coming in September

virtually certain (100%)

The race to the top of AI is compressing into a single month — Anthropic is virtually certain to hold the frontier position through September, with its nearest rivals at Google and OpenAI also releasing major models before year-end, making the autumn the most consequential product sprint in recent AI history.

Updated 3:10 PM ET ▲ up overnight
the numbers
traded today $713K markets read 11 venue Polymarket grade A
Finance odds favor 25 bps increase

The Fed's September Decision Is a Genuine Coin Flip Between a Hike and a Hold

25 bps increase: a coin flip (50%)

A rate hike in 2026 is now the base case at 66%, and the September meeting has become the likely inflection point — but the dead-even split between hike and hold means the Fed's next move is genuinely undecided, not merely uncertain.

Updated 4:24 PM ET ▲ up overnight
the numbers
traded today $1.9M markets read 10 venue Polymarket grade A
Finance

Bitcoin Is Likely to Revisit $75,000 Before Year-End

likely (87%)

While recent coverage may have focused on Bitcoin's upward momentum, the full price cluster tells a bearish story — a dip to $70,000 is also a live scenario, and the odds of sustaining above $85,000 have fallen sharply, pointing to a volatile but range-bound second half.

Updated 3:10 PM ET ▲ up overnight
the numbers
traded today $329K markets read 20 venue Polymarket grade A trending in today's news