The US Labor Market Very Likely Avoids Job Losses in August
Source: Kalshi market “Jobs numbers in Aug 2026?”
very likely (97%)
Leading outcome
Above -100,000 97%
Very likely · Stable · A · tracked 48 days
likely → very likely
24h move
0.0 pts
Above -100,000
Traded 24h
$141K
$353K all time
Resolves by
2026-09-04
Where the money stands
Above -100,000
97%
0.0
Above -75,000
94%
▲
1.0
Above -50,000
91%
▲
3.0
Above -25,000
84%
▼
1.0
Above 0
74%
▼
1.0
Above 10,000
69%
▲
4.0
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