U.S.

Gray Will Win Wyoming by at Least 19 Points, but the Margin Ceiling Has Collapsed

By Priced In News Staff

Source: Kalshi market “Wyoming margin of victory”

virtually certain (99%)
Leading outcome Gray, 19+ pts 99% Virtually certain · C
24h move ▲ 38.0 pts Gray, 19+ pts
Traded 24h $118K $123K all time
Resolves by 2027-11-03

Where the money stands

Gray, 19+ pts 99% ▲ 38.0
Gray, 22+ pts 16% ▲ 10.7
Gray, 25+ pts 1% ▼ 11.0
Gray, 49+ pts 0% ▼ 9.5
Gray, 28+ pts 0% ▼ 0.7
Gray, 31+ pts 0% ▼ 40.6
View the market on Kalshi ← Front Page

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56: very likely (90%)

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probably not (26%)

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U.S.

Pete Hegseth's Impeachment Odds Are Now a Dead Heat

a coin flip (48%)

What had been a leaning-yes signal collapsed overnight into a genuine coin flip — the money no longer treats impeachment as the more likely outcome, suggesting either a triggering event failed to materialize or political will on Capitol Hill is seen as fading.

Updated 8:55 PM ET ▼ down sharply overnight
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traded today $23K markets read 5 venue Polymarket grade A unlikely → a coin flip