U.S.odds favor Jenny Costa Honeycutt

Jenny Costa Honeycutt Holds a Narrowing Edge in SC-01

By Priced In News Staff

Source: Kalshi market “SC-01 House winner?”

Jenny Costa Honeycutt: leaning yes (71%)
Leading outcome Jenny Costa Honeycutt 71% Leaning yes · B likely → leaning yes venues disagree 29.3pp
24h move 0.0 pts Jenny Costa Honeycutt
Traded 24h $51K $85K all time
Resolves by 2027-11-03
Source markets 23 23 markets · mixed

Where the money stands

Jenny Costa Honeycutt 71% 0.0
Nancy S. Lacore 25% ▼ 6.0

Source markets for this story

2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power? Kalshi · Democrats sweep 61% · +2.0 24h
Which party will win the U.S. House? Kalshi · Democratic Party 91% · -0.7 24h
Ohio Senate winner? Kalshi · Sherrod Brown 61% · +5.0 24h
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms Polymarket · Democrats Sweep 64% · +3.0 24h
Ohio Senate Election Winner Polymarket · Sherrod Brown (D) 62% · +7.0 24h
Texas Senate winner? Kalshi · James Talarico 59% · -1.0 24h
Which party will win the Senate in 2026? Polymarket · Democratic Party 64% · +3.0 24h
Kansas Senate winner? Kalshi · Roger Marshall 71% · -3.0 24h
Which party will win the U.S. Senate? Kalshi · Democratic Party 61% · +1.0 24h
MT-01 House winner? Kalshi · Aaron Flint 69% · +1.0 24h
Which party will win the House in 2026? Polymarket · Democratic Party 92%
How many House seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms? Kalshi · Below 193 29%
Maine-Texas Senate Combo Kalshi · James Talarico and Troy Jackson 49% · +2.0 24h
PA-01 House winner? Kalshi · Brian Fitzpatrick 61%
TX-28 House winner? Kalshi · Henry Cuellar 86% · +1.0 24h
Texas Senate Election Winner Polymarket · James Talarico (D) 62% · +3.0 24h
NY-01 House winner? Kalshi · Nick LaLota 77%
SC-01 House winner? Kalshi · Jenny Costa Honeycutt 71%
Iowa Senate Election Winner Polymarket · Ashley Hinson (R) 57% · -3.0 24h
Mississippi Senate Election Winner Polymarket · Cindy Hyde-Smith (R) 92% · +1.5 24h
New Hampshire Senate Election Winner Polymarket · Chris Pappas (D) 82% · +2.0 24h
Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Polymarket · ≤47 36% · -2.0 24h
Nebraska Senate Election Winner Polymarket · Pete Ricketts (R) 68% · +0.5 24h
The Money Talks — The House Is Already Slipping Away From Republicans
View the market on Kalshi ← Front Page

More from U.S.

U.S. odds favor Democrats Sweep

Democrats Are Increasingly Favored to Sweep the 2026 Midterms

Democrats Sweep: leaning yes (60%)

A full Democratic takeover of both chambers is now the modal outcome, having climbed from 44% just seven weeks ago to a new peak today — but the Senate remains the soft underbelly, priced separately at only 56-60%, meaning the sweep depends on a chamber that is far from decided.

Updated 10:57 PM ET ▲ up overnight
the numbers
traded today $175K markets read 23 venue Polymarket grade A tracked 55 days range 64% (0d ago) – 44% (53d ago) 2 tier changes venues disagree 29.3pp
U.S. odds favor Karen Bass

Karen Bass Leads the Los Angeles Mayoral Race but Her Edge Is Narrowing

Karen Bass: leaning yes (60%)

Bass has slipped to her tracking-period low, and Nithya Raman has closed to 40% — close enough that this is no longer a comfortable incumbent advantage but a race with real competitive tension heading into the final stretch.

Updated 11:07 AM ET ▼ down overnight
the numbers
traded today $107K markets read 2 venue Polymarket grade B tracked 51 days range 68% (39d ago) – 56% (0d ago) a coin flip → leaning yes venues agree
U.S. odds favor Democratic

Democrats Are Favored to Win the 2028 Presidential Election

Democratic: leaning yes (65%)

The Republican bench looks fractured — with Vance clearing only 51% for the nomination and failing to top 24% in a general-election match, the GOP has no consolidating figure yet, leaving the path clear for whichever Democrat emerges from an equally unsettled primary.

Updated 2:08 PM ET – barely changed since yesterday
the numbers
traded today $129K markets read 7 venue Polymarket grade B tracked 44 days range 66% (8d ago) – 57% (42d ago) venues disagree 29.2pp