Ilhan Omar Is Very Likely to Hold Minnesota's Fifth District
Source: Kalshi market “MN-05 House winner?”
Ilhan Omar: very likely (93%)
Leading outcome
Ilhan Omar 93%
Very likely · B
venues disagree 26.5pp
24h move
▼
1.9 pts
Ilhan Omar
Traded 24h
$46K
$68K all time
Resolves by
2027-11-03
Source markets
29
29 markets · mixed
Where the money stands
Ilhan Omar
93%
▼
1.9
John Nagel
6%
▲
1.0
DeVelle Jackson
1%
0.0
Source markets for this story
Which party will win the U.S. House?
Kalshi · Democratic Party 90% · +1.1 24h
2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
Kalshi · Democrats sweep 60% · -1.0 24h
Texas Senate winner?
Kalshi · James Talarico 65% · +1.0 24h
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Polymarket · Democrats Sweep 62%
Which party will win the U.S. Senate?
Kalshi · Democratic Party 62%
Michigan Senate winner?
Kalshi · Abdul El-Sayed 68%
South Carolina Senate winner?
Kalshi · Darline Graham 86%
Ohio Governor winner?
Kalshi · Amy Acton 68% · -1.0 24h
Texas Senate Election Winner
Polymarket · James Talarico (D) 64% · +2.0 24h
How many House seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?
Kalshi · 193 or more Republican seats 76% · -0.8 24h
Minnesota Senate winner?
Kalshi · Peggy Flanagan 87%
How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?
Kalshi · 48 17% · +3.0 24h
Maine Senate winner?
Kalshi · Troy Jackson 59% · +2.0 24h
Which party will win the House in 2026?
Polymarket · Democratic Party 90%
Iowa Senate winner?
Kalshi · Ashley Hinson 59% · +1.0 24h
Massachusetts Governor winner?
Kalshi · Maura Healey 95% · -1.2 24h
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?
Kalshi · Above 52 35%
Ohio Senate winner?
Kalshi · Sherrod Brown 60%
Blue wave in 2026?
Kalshi · Yes 81% · -2.0 24h
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
Polymarket · Democratic Party 64%
MN-05 House winner?
Kalshi · Ilhan Omar 93% · -1.9 24h
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
Polymarket · Yes 99%
Alaska Senate Election Winner
Polymarket · Mary Peltola 74% · +1.0 24h
Michigan Senate Election Winner
Polymarket · Abdul El-Sayed (D) 70%
NY-23 House Election Winner
Polymarket · Nick Langworthy (R) 95% · +0.5 24h
Ilhan Omar federally charged by...?
Polymarket · December 31 16%
MO-02 House Election Winner
Polymarket · Ann Wagner (R) 76% · +3.0 24h
GA-11 House Election Winner
Polymarket · John Cowan (R) 96%
Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Polymarket · ≤47 38%
The Money Talks —
The House Is Already Slipping Away From Republicans
Get an alert when Us 2026 Midterms moves.
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