Finance

Air Canada's Next Earnings Call Will Be Dominated by Middle East Turbulence

By Priced In News Staff

Source: Kalshi market “What will Air Canada say during their next earnings call?”

likely (88%)
Leading outcome Iran / Middle East 88% Likely · D
24h move ▲ 2.0 pts Iran / Middle East
Traded 24h $19K $44K all time
Resolves by 2026-12-31

Where the money stands

Iran / Middle East 88% ▲ 2.0
Airbus 77% 0.0
Weather 75% ▲ 27.0
Tailwind 68% ▲ 5.0
Headwind 65% 0.0
Inflation 57% ▲ 6.0
View the market on Kalshi ← Front Page

More from Finance

Finance odds favor No change

The Fed Holds in September as a Hike Remains a Live Threat

No change: leaning yes (62%)

A cut is essentially off the table and no rate reductions are expected anywhere in 2026, meaning any policy error from here runs in one direction — the risk is tightening, not easing, even as the hold remains the base case.

Updated 4:34 PM ET ▲ drifting up for days
the numbers
traded today $1.0M markets read 4 venue Polymarket grade A
Finance a real race

U.S. Annual Inflation Is Heading for 3.3% in July

3.3%: probably not (40%)

Inflation is settling into a sticky mid-3% band rather than resuming its descent — virtually certain to stay above 3.0%, with the 3.3% print now the modal call, leaving the Fed's path to cuts even narrower than it was.

Updated 12:19 AM ET ▲ up overnight
the numbers
traded today $52K markets read 4 venue Polymarket grade B resolves in 2 days
Finance odds favor 3.1%+

Eurozone Inflation Is Increasingly Headed Above 3% for 2026

3.1%+: leaning yes (62%)

Persistent above-target inflation would corner the ECB, forcing it to hold rates higher for longer even as growth softens — a stagflationary bind that the 62% probability now makes the central scenario, not a tail risk.

Updated 6:41 PM ET – barely changed since yesterday
the numbers
traded today $46K venue Polymarket grade C