Anthropic Is Very Likely to Hit a $1.5 Trillion Valuation by Year-End
Source: Polymarket market “Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?”
likely (88%)
Leading outcome
↑$1.5T 88%
Likely · Stable · B · tracked 55 days
peak 99% (26d ago) · low 82% (47d ago)
6 tier changes over tracking period
venues disagree 14.5pp
24h move
▼
1.0 pts
↑$1.5T
Traded 24h
$126K
$5.1M all time
Resolves by
2027-01-05
Source markets
24
24 markets · mixed
Where the money stands
↑$1.5T
88%
▼
1.0
↑$1.75T
80%
0.0
↑$2.0T
72%
▼
3.0
↑$2.5T
44%
▲
3.0
↑$3.0T
24%
▼
1.0
↑$4.0T
7%
0.2
Source markets for this story
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
Polymarket · ↑$1.5T 88% · -1.0 24h
Anthropic lab leak by...?
Polymarket · June 30, 2027 6% · -4.0 24h
Anthropic IPO by __?
Polymarket · December 31, 2026 81% · +3.5 24h
When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
Kalshi · Before Apr 1, 2027 91%
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
Polymarket · $2.0–$2.25T 24%
IPOs before 2027?
Polymarket · Anthropic 82% · +2.5 24h
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
Polymarket · Anthropic 55% · -1.9 24h
What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
Polymarket · $1.75T–$2.0T 22%
OpenAI IPO by...?
Polymarket · June 30, 2027 57% · -0.5 24h
What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be?
Polymarket · $1.75–$2.00T 46%
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
Polymarket · 1.5T+ 68% · +3.0 24h
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
Polymarket · $800B 87% · -5.9 24h
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Polymarket · Yes 95% · -1.4 24h
When will OpenAI officially announce an IPO?
Kalshi · Before May 1, 2027 47% · -6.0 24h
Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first?
Kalshi · Anthropic 91% · -1.0 24h
In which month will Anthropic IPO?
Polymarket · November 2026 52% · +3.1 24h
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Brackets)
Polymarket · 600B+ 96%
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)
Polymarket · 1.8T+ 84% · +0.5 24h
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
Polymarket · No IPO by December 31, 2026 96%
Which bank will lead Anthropic's IPO?
Kalshi · Morgan Stanley 78% · -2.0 24h
Which banks will take OpenAI public?
Kalshi · Raymond James 42%
Which banks will take Anthropic public?
Kalshi · Mizuho 84%
Which bank will lead OpenAI's IPO?
Kalshi · Goldman Sachs 79%
How much will OpenAI raise in its IPO?
Polymarket · $100B+ 44% · +0.5 24h
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