Finance

Anthropic Is Very Likely to Hit a $1.5 Trillion Valuation by Year-End

Source: Polymarket market “Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?”

likely (88%)
Resolved The money put ↑$1.25T at 85% when this article was published. This market has since closed. See the track record →
Leading outcome ↑$1.5T 88% Likely · Stable · B · tracked 55 days peak 99% (26d ago) · low 82% (47d ago) 6 tier changes over tracking period venues disagree 14.5pp
24h move ▼ 1.0 pts ↑$1.5T
Traded 24h $126K $5.1M all time
Resolves by 2027-01-05
Source markets 24 24 markets · mixed

Where the money stands

↑$1.5T 88% ▼ 1.0
↑$1.75T 80% 0.0
↑$2.0T 72% ▼ 3.0
↑$2.5T 44% ▲ 3.0
↑$3.0T 24% ▼ 1.0
↑$4.0T 7% 0.2

Source markets for this story

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31? Polymarket · ↑$1.5T 88% · -1.0 24h
Anthropic lab leak by...? Polymarket · June 30, 2027 6% · -4.0 24h
Anthropic IPO by __? Polymarket · December 31, 2026 81% · +3.5 24h
When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO? Kalshi · Before Apr 1, 2027 91%
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap Polymarket · $2.0–$2.25T 24%
IPOs before 2027? Polymarket · Anthropic 82% · +2.5 24h
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? Polymarket · Anthropic 55% · -1.9 24h
What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be? Polymarket · $1.75T–$2.0T 22%
OpenAI IPO by...? Polymarket · June 30, 2027 57% · -0.5 24h
What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be? Polymarket · $1.75–$2.00T 46%
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap Polymarket · 1.5T+ 68% · +3.0 24h
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ? Polymarket · $800B 87% · -5.9 24h
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? Polymarket · Yes 95% · -1.4 24h
When will OpenAI officially announce an IPO? Kalshi · Before May 1, 2027 47% · -6.0 24h
Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first? Kalshi · Anthropic 91% · -1.0 24h
In which month will Anthropic IPO? Polymarket · November 2026 52% · +3.1 24h
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets) Polymarket · 1.8T+ 84% · +0.5 24h
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap Polymarket · No IPO by December 31, 2026 96%
Which bank will lead Anthropic's IPO? Kalshi · Morgan Stanley 78% · -2.0 24h
Which banks will take OpenAI public? Kalshi · Raymond James 42%
Which bank will lead OpenAI's IPO? Kalshi · Goldman Sachs 79%
How much will OpenAI raise in its IPO? Polymarket · $100B+ 44% · +0.5 24h
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