Bitcoin's October Rally Faces More Resistance Than Coverage Suggests
Source: Kalshi market “How high will BTC get in October?”
probably not (41%)
Leading outcome
Above $87,500.00 41%
Probably not · Stable · A · tracked 14 days
peak 86% (10d ago) · low 34%
8 tier changes over tracking period
24h move
▲
4.0 pts
Above $87,500.00
Traded 24h
$141K
$996K all time
Resolves by
2026-11-01
Source markets
17
17 markets · mixed
Where the money stands
Above $87,500.00
41%
▲
4.0
Above $90,000.00
27%
▲
6.0
Above $92,500.00
15%
▲
3.0
Above $95,000.00
9%
▲
2.0
Above $97,500.00
6%
▲
2.0
Above $100,000.00
3%
0.0
Source markets for this story
BTC price on Oct 15, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
Kalshi · $73,000 or above 100%
BTC price on Oct 15, 2026 at 3pm EDT?
Kalshi · $73,600 or above 100%
What price will Bitcoin hit in October?
Polymarket · ↑ 85,000 64% · +4.5 24h
BTC price on Oct 16, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
Kalshi · $72,500 or above 99%
BTC 15 min · $82,227.64 target
Kalshi · Yes 91%
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
Polymarket · ↑ 90,000 60% · +2.5 24h
Bitcoin above ___ on October 16?
Polymarket · 72,000 100% · +0.8 24h
What price will Bitcoin hit October 12-18?
Polymarket · ↓ 82,000 84%
Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
Kalshi · $60,000+ 89% · -2.6 24h
How high will BTC get in October?
Kalshi · Above $87,500.00 41% · +4.0 24h
Bitcoin above ___ on October 17?
Polymarket · 74,000 100% · +0.7 24h
Will BTC hit $50,000 before $100,000?
Kalshi · Yes 8% · +1.0 24h
Bitcoin above ___ on October 21?
Polymarket · 72,000 99% · +47.2 24h
Bitcoin price on October 16?
Polymarket · 82,000-84,000 48% · +16.0 24h
Bitcoin above ___ on October 18?
Polymarket · 74,000 99% · +0.8 24h
Bitcoin price on October 17?
Polymarket · 82,000-84,000 40% · +10.0 24h
Bitcoin above ___ on October 19?
Polymarket · 72,000 99% · +0.5 24h
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