Finance

October CPI Is Very Likely to Rise, but the Surge Scenario Has Collapsed

By Priced In News Staff

Source: Kalshi market “CPI in October”

very likely (95%)

Leading outcome Above -0.1% 95% Very likely · A

24h move 0.0 pts Above -0.1%

Traded 24h $296K $431K all time

Resolves by 2026-11-10

Where the money stands

Above -0.1% 95% 0.0

Above 0.0% 91% ▲ 1.0

Above 0.1% 71% ▼ 7.0

Above 0.2% 36% ▼ 23.0

Above 0.3% 16% ▼ 14.0

Above 0.4% 4% ▼ 12.0

CPI core in October Kalshi · Above 0.0% 88% · -8.0 24h

CPI in October Kalshi · Above -0.1% 95%

Core CPI MoM - September 2026 Polymarket · 0.6%+ 0%