U.S.odds favor Shannon Taylor

Shannon Taylor Takes a Narrow Lead in Virginia's First District Race

By Priced In News Staff

Source: Kalshi market “VA-01 House winner?”

Shannon Taylor: leaning yes (56%)
Resolved The money put Shannon Taylor at 56% when this article was published. This market has since closed. See the track record →
Leading outcome Shannon Taylor 56% Leaning yes · C
24h move ▲ 4.0 pts Shannon Taylor
Traded 24h $57K $267K all time
Resolves by 2027-11-03

Where the money stands

Shannon Taylor 56% ▲ 4.0
Rob Wittman 44% ▼ 5.0
View the market on Kalshi ← Front Page

More from U.S.

U.S.

Katie Zacharia Is Likely Out as Press Secretary Before 2029

likely (86%)

What had been virtually certain is now merely likely — a meaningful confidence-tier retreat, driven largely by a sharp pullback in the mid-2028 window, suggesting the market is less sure about timing than it was yesterday even if the eventual outcome still leans toward departure.

Updated 3:49 PM ET ▼ down overnight
the numbers
traded today $280K markets read 36 venue Kalshi grade A tracked 4 days range 96% (2d ago) – 87% (0d ago) unlikely → virtually certain venues disagree 25.7pp
U.S.

Ilhan Omar Leads a Volatile Federal Charges Market as Tucker Carlson Surges

probably not (43%)

What had been an unlikely prospect is now closer to a coin flip for Omar, while Tucker Carlson's odds have exploded upward in a single session — suggesting fresh, specific information is moving money across the board. The field's instability means no name here should be read as a settled call.

Updated 8:53 AM ET ▲ up overnight
the numbers
traded today $69K venue Kalshi grade C tracked 69 days range 97% (0d ago) – 29% (9d ago) trending in today's news 4 tier changes
U.S. wide open

The 2028 Democratic Nomination Race Has No Clear Front-Runner

Gavin Newsom: unlikely (14%)

With Newsom, Ocasio-Cortez, and Ossoff each sitting around 14%, the Democratic Party faces the most wide-open nominating contest in a generation — and on the Republican side, Vance's path to the nomination remains contested enough that the general election is anyone's game.

Updated 1:20 AM ET – barely changed since yesterday
the numbers
traded today $877K markets read 5 venue Kalshi grade A tracked 79 days venues disagree 28.5pp