The 30-Year Treasury Yield Is Likely to Hit 5.40% Before Year-End
Source: Polymarket market “How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?”
leaning yes (73%)
Leading outcome
5.40% 73%
Leaning yes · Rising · D · tracked 52 days
peak 99% (45d ago) · low 55% (28d ago)
7 tier changes over tracking period
24h move
▲
4.0 pts
5.40%
Traded 24h
$14K
$310K all time
Resolves by
2026-12-31
Where the money stands
5.40%
73%
▲
4.0
5.50%
50%
▼
1.0
5.60%
29%
▼
2.0
5.70%
17%
▲
7.5
5.80%
7%
▲
0.8
6.00%
5%
▲
0.7
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