Finance

The 30-Year Treasury Yield Is Likely to Hit 5.40% Before Year-End

Source: Polymarket market “How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?”

leaning yes (73%)
Resolved The money put 5.40% at 77% when this article was published. This market has since closed. See the track record →
Leading outcome 5.40% 73% Leaning yes · Rising · D · tracked 52 days peak 99% (45d ago) · low 55% (28d ago) 7 tier changes over tracking period
24h move ▲ 4.0 pts 5.40%
Traded 24h $14K $310K all time
Resolves by 2026-12-31

Where the money stands

5.40% 73% ▲ 4.0
5.50% 50% ▼ 1.0
5.60% 29% ▼ 2.0
5.70% 17% ▲ 7.5
5.80% 7% ▲ 0.8
6.00% 5% ▲ 0.7
View the market on Polymarket ← Front Page