Finance

Bitcoin Is Above $78,000 on August 31

By Priced In News Staff

Source: Polymarket market “Bitcoin above ___ on August 31?”

virtually certain (100%)
From our archive This story ran in an earlier edition of the paper. It stays on the record at this address; the front page and sections carry only current stories.
Resolved The money put 70,000 at 99% when this article was published. This market has since closed. See the track record →
Leading outcome 70,000 100% Virtually certain · Stable · A · tracked 53 days
24h move 0.1 pts 70,000
Traded 24h $1.2M $1.5M all time
Resolves by 2026-08-31
Source markets 19 19 markets · mixed

Where the money stands

70,000 100% 0.1
72,000 100% 0.2
74,000 100% 0.4
76,000 100% ▲ 2.0
78,000 100% ▲ 18.4
80,000 0% ▼ 24.4

Source markets for this story

BTC price on Oct 18, 2026 at 5pm EDT? Kalshi · $71,500 or above 100%
What price will Bitcoin hit October 12-18? Polymarket · ↓ 80,000 37% · +24.1 24h
What price will Bitcoin hit in October? Polymarket · ↓ 80,000 85% · +10.5 24h
BTC price on Oct 23, 2026 at 5pm EDT? Kalshi · $69,500 or above 98%
What price will Bitcoin hit on October 18? Polymarket · ↓ 80,000 39%
Bitcoin above ___ on October 19? Polymarket · 72,000 100%
Bitcoin price at the end of 2026 Kalshi · $60,000+ 90%
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026? Polymarket · ↑ 90,000 49% · -3.5 24h
Will BTC hit $50,000 before $100,000? Kalshi · Yes 10% · +1.0 24h
How high will BTC get in October? Kalshi · Above $87,500.00 28% · -1.0 24h
BTC price range on Oct 18, 2026 at 5pm EDT? Kalshi · $80,750 to 80,999.99 55%
Bitcoin above ___ on October 20? Polymarket · 74,000 99%
Bitcoin above ___ on October 24? Polymarket · 72,000 98% · -0.7 24h
Bitcoin above ___ on October 21? Polymarket · 72,000 99%
Bitcoin above ___ on October 23? Polymarket · 72,000 98% · -0.9 24h
Bitcoin above ___ on October 22? Polymarket · 72,000 99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4PM ET Polymarket · Yes 38% · -11.5 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 19? Polymarket · Yes 42% · -7.5 24h
Bitcoin price on October 19? Polymarket · 80,000-82,000 50% · +4.0 24h
The Money Talks — Bitcoin Is Going Back to $75,000 — The Only Question Is When
View the market on Polymarket ← Front Page

More from Finance

Finance No change on track to win

The Fed Likely Holds Rates in October — Then Likely Hikes in December

No change: likely (84%)

A pause in October is increasingly the baseline, but it is a waystation, not a destination — the money now leans toward a hike–pause–hike sequence that would make December the real decision point for how far this tightening cycle runs.

Updated 12:31 AM ET ▲ up overnight
the numbers
traded today $2.2M markets read 4 venue Polymarket grade A tracked 81 days range 86% (0d ago) – 50% (30d ago) 7 tier changes
Finance leaning 1.5T+

OpenAI's IPO Valuation Is a Coin Flip on Whether It Clears $1.5 Trillion

1.5T+: a coin flip (46%)

The money has walked back its ambitions sharply — from a peak of 79% just five weeks ago to a dead heat — while a no-IPO-by-2027 outcome sits at 24%, meaning the event itself is far from guaranteed, let alone the mega-cap price tag.

Updated 7:31 AM ET ▼ down sharply overnight
the numbers
traded today $16K markets read 14 venue Polymarket grade B tracked 64 days range 79% (39d ago) – 40% (62d ago) 13 tier changes venues disagree 60.3pp AI IPO beat
Finance

New Jersey Gas Prices Are Very Likely to Stay Above $3.80 Through Year-End

very likely (95%)

What had been an unlikely outcome is now a near-certainty — and the related markets price gas above $4.16 at 99%, suggesting the floor is not $3.80 but considerably higher, pointing to sustained pump-price pain for New Jersey drivers through December.

Updated 4:49 PM ET ▲ up overnight
the numbers
traded today $51K markets read 9 venue Kalshi grade B tracked 5 days unlikely → very likely