A US-Canada Tariff Deal This Year Is Now a Coin Flip
Source: Polymarket market “US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by...?”
leaning yes (66%)
Leading outcome
December 31 66%
Leaning yes · Stable · C · tracked 56 days
peak 71% (41d ago) · low 48% (51d ago)
3 tier changes over tracking period
24h move
▲
7.5 pts
December 31
Traded 24h
$21K
$284K all time
Resolves by
2027-01-01
Where the money stands
December 31
66%
▲
7.5
November 30
39%
▲
14.0
October 31
7%
▲
2.5
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