Arts / Cultureodds favor Avengers: Doomsday

Avengers: Doomsday Appears Headed for the Second-Biggest Opening of 2026, with Spider-Man Closing In

By Priced In News Staff

Source: Polymarket market “Which movie has 2nd biggest opening weekend in 2026?”

Avengers: Doomsday: leaning yes (66%)
Leading outcome Avengers: Doomsday 66% Leaning yes · D
24h move ▼ 4.0 pts Avengers: Doomsday
Traded 24h $17K $61K all time
Resolves by 2026-12-31

Where the money stands

Avengers: Doomsday 66% ▼ 4.0
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 34% ▲ 3.0
Toy Story 5 0% 0.0
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping 0% 0.0
Dune: Messiah 0% 0.2
View the market on Polymarket ← Front Page

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Arts / Culture leaning 800 - 900m

Spider-Man: Brand New Day Is on the Edge of a $900 Million Domestic Run

800 - 900m: a coin flip (51%)

Third-weekend data has pulled money sharply toward the higher gross band — the film is tracking stronger than the prior consensus, and a $900 million-plus finish is now nearly as likely as not, a meaningful upgrade for what was already a blockbuster.

Updated 3:48 AM ET ▼ down sharply overnight
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traded today $79K markets read 4 venue Polymarket grade B
Arts / Culture odds favor The Odyssey

The Odyssey Is Increasingly the Film to Beat for Best Picture

The Odyssey: leaning yes (58%)

A crowded field with no serious challenger above 13% means The Odyssey has already separated from the pack — if momentum holds, the race may effectively be decided well before awards season peaks.

Updated 5:19 AM ET ▲ up overnight
the numbers
traded today $78K venue Kalshi grade C