Arts / Culture

Zohran Mamdani Leads a Wide-Open TIME Person of the Year Race

Source: Polymarket market “TIME Person of the Year 2026”

probably not (28%)
Resolved The money put Zohran Mamdani at 28% when this article was published. This market has since closed. See the track record →
Leading outcome Zohran Mamdani 28% Probably not · Stable · C · tracked 23 days venues disagree 5.0pp
24h move ▼ 4.0 pts Zohran Mamdani
Traded 24h $21K $200K all time
Resolves by 2027-07-01
Source markets 2 2 markets · all agree

Where the money stands

Zohran Mamdani 28% ▼ 4.0
Pope Leo XIV 14% ▼ 3.0
James Talarico 13% 0.4
Mark Carney 12% ▼ 6.0
Artificial Intelligence 7% 0.3
Lula da Silva 6% ▼ 19.7

Source markets for this story

Time's Person of the Year for 2026 Kalshi · Zohran Mamdani 30% · -1.0 24h
TIME Person of the Year 2026 Polymarket · Zohran Mamdani 28% · -4.0 24h
View the market on Polymarket ← Front Page