Arts / Culture

Spider-Man: Brand New Day Is Poised to Lead the 2026 Box Office

By Priced In News Staff

Source: Polymarket market “Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?”

Leading outcome Spider-Man: Brand New Day 77% Likely · D
24h move ▲ 32.5 pts Spider-Man: Brand New Day
Traded 24h $14K $61K all time
Resolves by 2026-12-31

Where the money stands

Spider-Man: Brand New Day 77% ▲ 32.5
Avengers: Doomsday 22% ▼ 33.5
Toy Story 5 0% 0.0
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping 0% 0.0
Dune: Messiah 0% 0.0
View the market on Polymarket ← Front Page

More from Arts / Culture

800 - 900m 54% Contested ↑ Rising ▲ 29.0 $206K today 2 markets B

Spider-Man: Brand New Day Is Tracking for an $800–900M Domestic Run

The blockbuster ceiling has quietly come down — a nine-figure weekend hold now points to a strong but not historic finish, with the $900M-plus scenario losing ground fast as opening-week data rolls in.

Above 100K 99% Near-certain $133K today 1d 2 markets B

Petal's Debut Album Is Certain to Cross 200K First-Week Units

The floor is locked in; the open question is how far above 250K the ceiling lands, with the top tier still contested — making this a story about magnitude, not viability, for one of the stronger debut rollouts priced this cycle.

Above 40 99% Near-certain ↑ Rising ▲ 1.0 $165K today 2d C

"One Night Only" Is Certified Fresh — and Climbing

A floor above 40 is a certainty; the real movement is at the top end, where the money now prices an above-47 score as a live probability, pointing to a film tracking better with critics than early expectations suggested.