U.S.

California's Billionaire Wealth Tax Is Unlikely to Pass in 2026

Source: Polymarket market “Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?”

unlikely (24%)
Resolved The money put Yes at 34% when this article was published. This market has since closed. See the track record →
Leading outcome Yes 24% Unlikely · Stable · B · tracked 74 days peak 34% (72d ago) · low 21% (1d ago)
24h move ▲ 4.0 pts Yes
Traded 24h $249K $4.2M all time
Resolves by 2026-11-04
Source markets 2 2 markets · all agree

Source markets for this story

Will the California billionaire wealth tax pass? Kalshi · Yes 23% · +2.0 24h
View the market on Polymarket ← Front Page