U.S.Peggy Flanagan (D) on track to win

Peggy Flanagan Likely Holds Minnesota's Senate Seat for Democrats

By Priced In News Staff

Source: Polymarket market “Minnesota Senate Election Winner”

Peggy Flanagan (D): likely (88%)
Leading outcome Peggy Flanagan (D) 88% Likely · Falling · B · tracked 18 days peak 92% (16d ago) · low 88% very likely → likely venues disagree 27.4pp
24h move 0.0 pts Peggy Flanagan (D)
Traded 24h $27K $186K all time
Resolves by 2026-11-04
Source markets 27 27 markets · mixed

Where the money stands

Peggy Flanagan (D) 88% 0.0
Michele Tafoya (R) 10% ▼ 1.0

Source markets for this story

Which party will win the U.S. House? Kalshi · Democratic Party 92%
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms Polymarket · Democrats Sweep 66%
2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power? Kalshi · Democrats sweep 64% · +1.0 24h
Texas Senate winner? Kalshi · James Talarico 64% · -1.0 24h
Which party will win the House in 2026? Polymarket · Democratic Party 92% · -1.0 24h
How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms? Kalshi · 48 18% · +3.0 24h
Maine Senate winner? Kalshi · Troy Jackson 55% · -3.0 24h
Which party will win the U.S. Senate? Kalshi · Democratic Party 64% · +1.0 24h
Ohio Senate winner? Kalshi · Sherrod Brown 64% · +1.0 24h
Which party will win the Senate in 2026? Polymarket · Democratic Party 66% · +2.0 24h
Kansas Senate winner? Kalshi · Roger Marshall 66%
Iowa Senate winner? Kalshi · Ashley Hinson 57%
Texas Senate Election Winner Polymarket · James Talarico (D) 64%
Maine-Texas Senate Combo Kalshi · James Talarico and Troy Jackson 45% · +1.0 24h
Michigan Senate winner? Kalshi · Abdul El-Sayed 72% · +1.0 24h
Minnesota Senate winner? Kalshi · Peggy Flanagan 85% · -1.0 24h
How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? Kalshi · 218+ Democratic seats 100% · +8.5 24h
South Carolina Senate winner? Kalshi · Darline Graham 86% · -1.0 24h
CO-04 House winner? Kalshi · Lauren Boebert 68% · -4.0 24h
South Carolina Senate Election Winner Polymarket · Darline Graham Nordone (R) 86% · -1.0 24h
Michigan Senate Election Winner Polymarket · Abdul El-Sayed (D) 73% · +0.5 24h
Florida Senate winner? Kalshi · Ashley Moody 89% · +1.0 24h
Minnesota Senate Election Winner Polymarket · Peggy Flanagan (D) 88%
Maine Senate Election Winner Polymarket · Troy Jackson (D) 58% · -1.0 24h
Republican House odds hit __ by October 31? Polymarket · ↓ 7% 77% · -9.9 24h
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? Polymarket · Yes 2% · +0.9 24h
MN-02 House Election Winner Polymarket · Matt Little (D) 92% · -2.7 24h
The Money Talks — The House Is Already Slipping Away From Republicans
View the market on Polymarket ← Front Page

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Updated 6:42 AM ET – barely changed since yesterday
the numbers
traded today $862K markets read 7 venue Polymarket grade B tracked 68 days range 25% (32d ago) – 20% (65d ago) trending in today's news venues disagree 30.2pp