Keisha Lance Bottoms Leads Georgia's Governor Race
Source: Polymarket market “Georgia Governor Election Winner”
Keisha Lance Bottoms (D): leaning yes (72%)
Leading outcome
Keisha Lance Bottoms (D) 72%
Leaning yes · Falling · B · tracked 42 days
peak 70% (1d ago) · low 50% (26d ago)
2 tier changes over tracking period
venues disagree 13.7pp
24h move
▲
3.0 pts
Keisha Lance Bottoms (D)
Traded 24h
$46K
$499K all time
Resolves by
2026-11-04
in 1 day
Source markets
109
109 markets · mixed
Where the money stands
Keisha Lance Bottoms (D)
72%
▲
3.0
Rick Jackson (R)
26%
▼
3.0
Source markets for this story
Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map)
Polymarket · None 34% · +2.0 24h
Who will control the House?
Kalshi · Democratic Party 94%
Texas Senate winner?
Kalshi · James Talarico 74%
Who will control the Senate?
Kalshi · Democratic Party 76% · +3.0 24h
Michigan Senate winner?
Kalshi · Abdul El-Sayed 81% · +2.0 24h
Which party will win the House in 2026?
Polymarket · Democratic Party 94%
US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
Polymarket · October 31 84% · -15.1 24h
Florida Governor winner?
Kalshi · Byron Donalds 63% · +1.0 24h
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?
Kalshi · Above 52 54% · +2.0 24h
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
Polymarket · Democratic Party 76% · +4.0 24h
California Governor winner? (Person)
Kalshi · Xavier Becerra 97%
Texas Senate Election Winner
Polymarket · James Talarico (D) 74% · -1.0 24h
Michigan Senate Election Winner
Polymarket · Abdul El-Sayed (D) 80% · +1.0 24h
Kansas Senate winner?
Kalshi · Adam Hamilton 62% · +1.0 24h
Iowa Senate winner?
Kalshi · Josh Turek 53% · +4.0 24h
Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Polymarket · ≤47 56% · +5.0 24h
New York Governor winner?
Kalshi · Kathy Hochul 96% · -0.7 24h
Nevada Governor winner?
Kalshi · Aaron Ford 75%
Florida Senate winner?
Kalshi · Ashley Moody 85% · -1.0 24h
Blue wave in 2026?
Kalshi · Yes 87% · -1.0 24h
Texas Governor Election Winner
Polymarket · Greg Abbott (R) 63% · -1.8 24h
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Higher strikes)
Kalshi · Below 53 44% · -3.0 24h
How many House seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?
Kalshi · 193 or more Republican seats 56%
Kansas Governor winner?
Kalshi · Ty Masterson 66% · -1.0 24h
Georgia Governor winner?
Kalshi · Keisha Lance Bottoms 73% · +4.0 24h
2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)
Kalshi · Democrats, 8 to 10% 28% · -2.0 24h
Mississippi Senate winner?
Kalshi · Cindy Hyde-Smith 86% · +1.0 24h
Texas Senate margin of victory
Kalshi · James Talarico, 0.5+ pts 73% · +1.0 24h
Florida Governor Election Winner
Polymarket · Byron Donalds (R) 64% · +1.0 24h
Maine Senate Election Winner
Polymarket · Troy Jackson (D) 74% · -1.0 24h
Minnesota Senate Election Winner
Polymarket · Peggy Flanagan (D) 92% · -3.0 24h
Louisiana Senate winner?
Kalshi · Julia Letlow 87% · +1.0 24h
TX-15 House winner?
Kalshi · Bobby Pulido 90% · +1.0 24h
VA-05 House winner?
Kalshi · John McGuire 59% · -8.0 24h
Ohio Governor Election Winner
Polymarket · Amy Acton (D) 84% · +2.0 24h
NY-17 House winner?
Kalshi · Cait Conley 57% · -3.0 24h
Closest Senate race in 2026?
Kalshi · Iowa 27% · +13.0 24h
California Governor Election Winner
Polymarket · Xavier Becerra 98% · -0.5 24h
Ohio Senate Election Winner
Polymarket · Sherrod Brown (D) 72% · -1.0 24h
Oregon Governor winner?
Kalshi · Tina Kotek 83% · +2.0 24h
New Hampshire Senate winner?
Kalshi · Chris Pappas 93%
Arizona Governor winner?
Kalshi · Katie Hobbs 92% · +0.8 24h
Texas Senate: margin of victory
Kalshi · James Talarico, 2-4% 24% · +1.0 24h
Alaska Senate Election Winner
Polymarket · Mary Peltola 72% · -2.0 24h
Vermont Governor winner?
Kalshi · Phil Scott 68%
Blue tsunami in 2026?
Kalshi · Yes 69% · +4.0 24h
Kansas Senate Election Winner
Polymarket · Adam Hamilton (D) 62% · +1.0 24h
Nebraska Senate Election Winner
Polymarket · Pete Ricketts (R) 68% · -4.0 24h
Iowa Senate Election Winner
Polymarket · Josh Turek (D) 54% · +6.0 24h
Michigan Governor winner?
Kalshi · Jocelyn Benson 95% · +1.4 24h
Texas Senate margin of victory
Kalshi · Ken Paxton, 0.5+ pts 27% · +3.0 24h
Michigan Governor Election Winner
Polymarket · Jocelyn Benson (D) 95%
Mississippi Senate Election Winner
Polymarket · Cindy Hyde-Smith (R) 86%
New York Governor Election Winner
Polymarket · Kathy Hochul (D) 97% · -0.5 24h
Arizona Governor Election Winner
Polymarket · Katie Hobbs (D) 94%
NC-13 House winner?
Kalshi · Brad Knott 65% · +7.0 24h
Tennessee Governor winner?
Kalshi · Marsha Blackburn 94%
Montana Senate Election Winner
Polymarket · Kurt Alme (R) 90% · -1.0 24h
Georgia Senate Election Winner
Polymarket · Jon Ossoff (D) 97%
Nevada Governor Election Winner
Polymarket · Aaron Ford (D) 76% · -2.0 24h
Florida Senate Election Winner
Polymarket · Ashley Moody (R) 86% · -2.0 24h
Alabama Governor winner?
Kalshi · Tommy Tuberville 92% · -1.8 24h
Kansas Governor Election Winner
Polymarket · Ty Masterson (R) 66% · -4.0 24h
NC-03 House winner?
Kalshi · Greg Murphy 60% · +5.0 24h
FL-25 House winner?
Kalshi · Jared Moskowitz 83% · +2.0 24h
FL-26 House winner?
Kalshi · Mario Díaz-Balart 85%
NC-03 House Election Winner
Polymarket · Greg Murphy (R) 58% · +2.0 24h
Texas Senate Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket · Talarico 3-6% 26% · -10.0 24h
New Mexico Governor winner?
Kalshi · Deb Haaland 95% · +0.8 24h
Florida Governor margin of victory
Kalshi · Donalds, 0.5+ pts 64% · +1.0 24h
New Hampshire Governor winner?
Kalshi · Kelly Ayotte 85% · +1.0 24h
Texas Governor margin of victory
Kalshi · Abbott, 0.5+ pts 61% · -4.0 24h
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the 2026 election? (Directional)
Kalshi · At least 46 99%
South Dakota Senate winner?
Kalshi · Mike Rounds 94%
Massachusetts Governor Election Winner
Polymarket · Maura Healey (D) 98%
FL-14 House winner?
Kalshi · Kathy Castor 76% · +1.0 24h
Texas Senate: Exact outcome
Kalshi · Talarico defeats Paxton 75% · +2.0 24h
AZ-01 House Election Winner
Polymarket · Amish Shah (D) 78%
Alaska Governor Election Winner
Polymarket · Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 90%
North Carolina Senate Election Winner
Polymarket · Roy Cooper (D) 98%
Blue wave in 2026?
Polymarket · Yes 92% · +0.5 24h
Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Polymarket · Below 190 46% · +3.0 24h
NC-09 House Election Winner
Polymarket · Richard Hudson (R) 65% · -1.5 24h
Vermont Governor Election Winner
Polymarket · Phil Scott (R) 68% · +1.0 24h
Georgia Governor Election Winner
Polymarket · Keisha Lance Bottoms (D) 72% · +3.0 24h
TX-15 House Election Winner
Polymarket · Bobby Pulido (D) 88%
TX-23 House Election Winner
Polymarket · Brandon Herrera (R) 61% · +7.5 24h
Republican Senate seats after the midterms (Lower Brackets)
Polymarket · 48+ 43% · -4.5 24h
FL-22 House Election Winner
Polymarket · Pia Dandiya (D) 72% · -2.0 24h
Tennessee Governor Election Winner
Polymarket · Marsha Blackburn (R) 94%
Senate Combo: Texas, Michigan, Maine
Polymarket · Dems sweep 66% · -3.5 24h
Oregon Governor Election Winner
Polymarket · Tina Kotek (D) 84%
How many Senate and House seats will Republicans have after the midterms?
Polymarket · ≤46 and ≤192 31% · +2.9 24h
NY-17 House Election Winner
Polymarket · Cait Conley (D) 56% · -2.0 24h
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?
Polymarket · Yes 1% · -0.9 24h
Iowa Governor Election Winner
Polymarket · Rob Sand (D) 88% · +1.0 24h
NJ-02 House Election Winner
Polymarket · Jeff Van Drew (R) 68% · -1.0 24h
Which party will hold more governorships after the midterms?
Polymarket · Democratic Party 88% · +2.0 24h
VA-05 House Election Winner
Polymarket · John McGuire (R) 58% · -6.0 24h
CA-07 House Election Winner (by individual)
Polymarket · Doris Matsui 78% · +1.5 24h
Wisconsin Governor Election Winner
Polymarket · David Crowley (D) 86% · +1.0 24h
AR-02 House Election Winner
Polymarket · French Hill (R) 72% · -8.5 24h
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
Polymarket · Yes 100%
Louisiana Senate Election Winner
Polymarket · Julia Letlow (R) 88% · +1.5 24h
Pennsylvania Governor Election Winner
Polymarket · Josh Shapiro (D) 99%
Michigan Senate Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket · El-Sayed 3-6% 22% · +1.0 24h
KY-06 House Election Winner
Polymarket · Zach Dembo (D) 56%
Texas Senate and Governor Combo
Polymarket · Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate 42% · +3.0 24h
AL-02 House Election Winner
Polymarket · Shomari Figures (D) 52% · +5.0 24h
Get an alert when 2026 Midterms House moves.
The Front Page, every morning — what the markets believe about the world.