A US-China Tariff Deal This Year Is Very Likely — and Sooner Than Expected
Source: Polymarket market “US x China tariff agreement by December 31?”
very likely (92%)
Leading outcome
December 31 92%
Very likely · Stable · D · tracked 57 days
likely → very likely
24h move
▲
1.2 pts
December 31
Traded 24h
$14K
$286K all time
Resolves by
2027-01-01
Where the money stands
December 31
92%
▲
1.2
October 31
88%
▲
5.0
September 30
80%
▲
13.0
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