World

Cuba's Regime Likely Survives 2026

By Priced In News Staff

Source: Polymarket market “Cuban regime falls in 2026?”

unlikely (12%)
Leading outcome Yes 12% Unlikely · D
24h move ▲ 1.0 pts Yes
Traded 24h $12K $1.7M all time
Resolves by 2027-01-01
View the market on Polymarket ← Front Page

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World Magdalena Andersson on track to win

Andersson Is Likely Sweden's Next Prime Minister, but Kristersson Surges

Magdalena Andersson: likely (78%)

A nine-point slide in a single session is a warning shot, not a verdict — Andersson retains a clear lead, but Kristersson's revival suggests the race is tightening in ways that could matter if Sweden's political landscape shifts further before September.

Updated 6:20 AM ET ▼ down overnight
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World leaning Gadi Eizenkot

Eizenkot Leads Israel's Post-Election Race with Netanyahu Closing In

Gadi Eizenkot: a coin flip (50%)

Netanyahu's surge suggests the war's political fallout is not as fatal to him as his opponents hoped — but Eizenkot's 50% share means Israel's next government still has no clear architect, leaving the post-conflict political order genuinely unsettled.

Updated 6:49 PM ET – barely changed since yesterday
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World a real race

CDU and Linke Are Deadlocked in Berlin's State Election Race

CDU: probably not (44%)

A dead-heat between CDU and Linke signals Berlin's political landscape is genuinely fractured — whichever bloc assembles a governing coalition will do so from a position of weakness, not mandate.

Updated 8:25 PM ET ▲ up sharply overnight
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traded today $64K venue Polymarket grade C