World

A Russian Military Strike on an EU Country Before 2027 Remains a Fringe Scenario

By Priced In News Staff

Source: Polymarket market “Russia military action against EU country by...?”

unlikely (19%)
Leading outcome December 31 19% Unlikely · B a coin flip → unlikely
24h move ▼ 30.5 pts December 31
Traded 24h $23K $23K all time
Resolves by 2027-01-01
Source markets 3 2/3 markets agree

Where the money stands

December 31 19% ▼ 30.5
September 30 3% ▼ 17.8

Source markets for this story

NATO x Russia military clash by...? Polymarket · December 31 28% · -1.0 24h
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...? Polymarket · December 31, 2027 70% · +1.0 24h
Russia military action against EU country by...? Polymarket · December 31 19% · -30.5 24h
The Money Talks — A NATO-Russia Clash by 2026 Is a Tail Risk, Not a Coming War
View the market on Polymarket ← Front Page

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