Scott Fitzgerald Is Very Likely to Hold Wisconsin's Fifth District
Source: Polymarket market “WI-05 House Election Winner”
Scott Fitzgerald (R): very likely (95%)
Leading outcome
Scott Fitzgerald (R) 95%
Very likely · B
venues agree
24h move
▼
0.9 pts
Scott Fitzgerald (R)
Traded 24h
$16K
$76K all time
Resolves by
2026-11-04
Source markets
31
31 markets · mixed
Where the money stands
Scott Fitzgerald (R)
95%
▼
0.9
Andrew Beck (D)
1%
▼
2.1
Source markets for this story
Which party will win the U.S. House?
Kalshi · Democratic Party 91%
2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
Kalshi · Democrats sweep 65%
Which party will win the House in 2026?
Polymarket · Democratic Party 92%
Texas Senate winner?
Kalshi · James Talarico 67% · +1.0 24h
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Polymarket · Democrats Sweep 64% · -1.0 24h
Which party will win the U.S. Senate?
Kalshi · Democratic Party 64% · -1.0 24h
Los Angeles Mayor winner?
Kalshi · Nithya Raman 58% · -2.0 24h
Nebraska Senate winner?
Kalshi · Pete Ricketts 73% · +1.0 24h
Michigan Senate winner?
Kalshi · Abdul El-Sayed 72% · -2.0 24h
Kansas Senate winner?
Kalshi · Roger Marshall 64% · -2.0 24h
Texas Senate Election Winner
Polymarket · James Talarico (D) 66% · +1.0 24h
New Hampshire Senate winner?
Kalshi · Chris Pappas 89% · +2.0 24h
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 7, 2026?
Kalshi · 38.5% 45%
Los Angeles Mayoral Election
Polymarket · Nithya Raman 59% · -1.4 24h
Maine Senate winner?
Kalshi · Troy Jackson 58% · +3.0 24h
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?
Kalshi · Above 52 36% · +1.0 24h
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
Polymarket · Democratic Party 64% · -1.0 24h
Texas Governor winner?
Kalshi · Greg Abbott 71% · -4.0 24h
What will Trump say during his rally in Texas?
Kalshi · Talarico / Talafreako 99%
Kansas Senate Election Winner
Polymarket · Roger Marshall (R) 64% · -4.0 24h
Nebraska Senate Election Winner
Polymarket · Pete Ricketts (R) 72% · -2.0 24h
What will Trump say during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?
Polymarket · Omaha 1% · -38.5 24h
Florida Senate Election Winner
Polymarket · Ashley Moody (R) 90% · -0.5 24h
Maine Senate Election Winner
Polymarket · Troy Jackson (D) 58%
Texas Governor Election Winner
Polymarket · Greg Abbott (R) 72%
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
Polymarket · Yes 98%
TX-26 House Election Winner
Polymarket · Brandon Gill (R) 95% · -2.2 24h
WI-05 House Election Winner
Polymarket · Scott Fitzgerald (R) 95% · -0.9 24h
MT-01 House Election Winner
Polymarket · Aaron Flint (R) 68% · -11.0 24h
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Polymarket · Bolsonaro, Eizenkot, Dems 38% · +2.5 24h
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Polymarket · Mike Haridopolos (R) 93% · -1.8 24h
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