U.S.a real race

Ossoff's Front-Runner Status Collapses as Ocasio-Cortez Surges

Source: Polymarket market “Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?”

Jon Ossoff: probably not (43%)
Leading outcome Jon Ossoff 43% Probably not · C leaning yes → probably not venues disagree 29.8pp
24h move ▼ 23.5 pts Jon Ossoff
Traded 24h $16K $63K all time
Resolves by 2026-10-31
Source markets 7 7 markets · mixed

Where the money stands

Jon Ossoff 43% ▼ 23.5
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 40% ▲ 20.5
Gavin Newsom 12% ▲ 0.5
Kamala Harris 0% 0.2
Josh Shapiro 0% 0.0

Source markets for this story

2028 Democratic presidential nominee Kalshi · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 14%
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 Polymarket · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 18%
2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner? Kalshi · J.D. Vance 21% · +2.0 24h
Presidential Election Winner 2028 Polymarket · JD Vance 22%
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 Polymarket · J.D. Vance 49%
2028 Republican presidential nominee Kalshi · J.D. Vance 42%
Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31? Polymarket · Jon Ossoff 43% · -23.5 24h
View the market on Polymarket ← Front Page