Ossoff's Front-Runner Status Collapses as Ocasio-Cortez Surges
Source: Polymarket market “Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?”
Jon Ossoff: probably not (43%)
Leading outcome
Jon Ossoff 43%
Probably not · C
leaning yes → probably not
venues disagree 29.8pp
24h move
▼
23.5 pts
Jon Ossoff
Traded 24h
$16K
$63K all time
Resolves by
2026-10-31
Source markets
7
7 markets · mixed
Where the money stands
Jon Ossoff
43%
▼
23.5
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
40%
▲
20.5
Gavin Newsom
12%
▲
0.5
Kamala Harris
0%
0.2
Josh Shapiro
0%
0.0
Source markets for this story
2028 Democratic presidential nominee
Kalshi · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 14%
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Polymarket · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 18%
2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
Kalshi · J.D. Vance 21% · +2.0 24h
Presidential Election Winner 2028
Polymarket · JD Vance 22%
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
Polymarket · J.D. Vance 49%
2028 Republican presidential nominee
Kalshi · J.D. Vance 42%
Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?
Polymarket · Jon Ossoff 43% · -23.5 24h
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