Stefany Shaheen Is Very Likely to Win New Hampshire's First Congressional District
Source: Polymarket market “NH-01 House Election Winner”
Stefany Shaheen (D): very likely (94%)
Leading outcome
Stefany Shaheen (D) 94%
Very likely · C
venues disagree 30.5pp
24h move
▼
0.7 pts
Stefany Shaheen (D)
Traded 24h
$17K
$48K all time
Resolves by
2026-11-04
Source markets
21
21 markets · mixed
Where the money stands
Stefany Shaheen (D)
94%
▼
0.7
Anthony DiLorenzo (R)
4%
0.2
Source markets for this story
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Polymarket · Democrats Sweep 66% · +2.0 24h
Which party will win the U.S. House?
Kalshi · Democratic Party 92%
Texas Senate winner?
Kalshi · James Talarico 65%
2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
Kalshi · Democrats sweep 63%
Which party will win the House in 2026?
Polymarket · Democratic Party 92% · -1.0 24h
Alaska Senate winner?
Kalshi · Democratic party 74% · +4.0 24h
How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?
Kalshi · 48 18% · +3.0 24h
Which party will win the U.S. Senate?
Kalshi · Democratic Party 63% · -2.0 24h
Texas Senate Election Winner
Polymarket · James Talarico (D) 64%
Kansas Senate winner?
Kalshi · Roger Marshall 66% · +1.0 24h
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
Polymarket · Democratic Party 66% · +2.0 24h
Maine Senate winner?
Kalshi · Troy Jackson 58% · -2.0 24h
Iowa Senate winner?
Kalshi · Ashley Hinson 57%
South Carolina Senate Election Winner
Polymarket · Darline Graham Nordone (R) 86% · -1.0 24h
Michigan Senate winner?
Kalshi · Abdul El-Sayed 72% · +1.0 24h
Minnesota Senate winner?
Kalshi · Peggy Flanagan 85% · -3.0 24h
South Carolina Senate winner?
Kalshi · Darline Graham 86%
Michigan Senate Election Winner
Polymarket · Abdul El-Sayed (D) 72%
How many House seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?
Kalshi · 193 or more Republican seats 77% · -4.0 24h
Maine Senate Election Winner
Polymarket · Troy Jackson (D) 58% · -1.0 24h
NH-01 House Election Winner
Polymarket · Stefany Shaheen (D) 94% · -0.7 24h
Get an alert when 2026 Midterms moves.
The Front Page, every morning — what the markets believe about the world.