U.S.wide open

The 2028 Democratic Nomination Is Wide Open With No Clear Front-Runner

Source: Polymarket market “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028”

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez: unlikely (16%)
Leading outcome Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 16% Unlikely · Stable · A · tracked 95 days peak 23% (69d ago) · low 16% (12d ago) venues disagree 19.7pp
24h move 0.3 pts Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Traded 24h $2.5M $1.3B all time
Resolves by 2028-11-08
Source markets 6 6 markets · mixed

Where the money stands

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 16% 0.3
Gavin Newsom 16% 0.1
Jon Ossoff 15% 0.3
Kamala Harris 6% 0.1
Pete Buttigieg 5% 0.1
Josh Shapiro 5% 0.1

Source markets for this story

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 Polymarket · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 16%
Presidential Election Winner 2028 Polymarket · JD Vance 18% · -0.5 24h
2028 Democratic presidential nominee Kalshi · Gavin Newsom 18% · +1.0 24h
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 Polymarket · J.D. Vance 39%
2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner? Kalshi · J.D. Vance 19% · -1.0 24h
2028 Republican presidential nominee Kalshi · J.D. Vance 36% · +1.0 24h
View the market on Polymarket ← Front Page