The 2028 Democratic Nomination Is Wide Open With No Clear Front-Runner
Source: Polymarket market “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028”
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez: unlikely (16%)
Leading outcome
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 16%
Unlikely · Stable · A · tracked 95 days
peak 23% (69d ago) · low 16% (12d ago)
venues disagree 19.7pp
24h move
0.3 pts
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Traded 24h
$2.5M
$1.3B all time
Resolves by
2028-11-08
Source markets
6
6 markets · mixed
Where the money stands
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
16%
0.3
Gavin Newsom
16%
0.1
Jon Ossoff
15%
0.3
Kamala Harris
6%
0.1
Pete Buttigieg
5%
0.1
Josh Shapiro
5%
0.1
Source markets for this story
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Polymarket · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 16%
Presidential Election Winner 2028
Polymarket · JD Vance 18% · -0.5 24h
2028 Democratic presidential nominee
Kalshi · Gavin Newsom 18% · +1.0 24h
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
Polymarket · J.D. Vance 39%
2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
Kalshi · J.D. Vance 19% · -1.0 24h
2028 Republican presidential nominee
Kalshi · J.D. Vance 36% · +1.0 24h
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