Katie Hobbs Is Very Likely to Hold Arizona's Governorship in 2026
Source: Polymarket market “Arizona Governor Election Winner”
Katie Hobbs (D): very likely (92%)
Leading outcome
Katie Hobbs (D) 92%
Very likely · Rising · B · tracked 60 days
peak 92% · low 84% (58d ago)
likely → very likely
venues agree
24h move
▲
4.0 pts
Katie Hobbs (D)
Traded 24h
$15K
$107K all time
Resolves by
2026-11-04
Source markets
6
6 markets · mixed
Where the money stands
Katie Hobbs (D)
92%
▲
4.0
Andy Biggs (R)
8%
▼
2.0
Source markets for this story
Los Angeles Mayor winner?
Kalshi · Nithya Raman 61%
Texas Governor winner?
Kalshi · Greg Abbott 74% · -4.0 24h
New York Governor Election Winner
Polymarket · Kathy Hochul (D) 96%
California Governor Election Winner
Polymarket · Xavier Becerra 96%
Los Angeles Mayoral Election
Polymarket · Nithya Raman 60% · -2.9 24h
Arizona Governor Election Winner
Polymarket · Katie Hobbs (D) 92% · +4.0 24h
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