U.S.Katie Hobbs (D) on track to win

Katie Hobbs Is Very Likely to Hold Arizona's Governorship in 2026

Source: Polymarket market “Arizona Governor Election Winner”

Katie Hobbs (D): very likely (92%)
Resolved The money put Democrat at 84% when this article was published. This market has since closed. See the track record →
Leading outcome Katie Hobbs (D) 92% Very likely · Rising · B · tracked 60 days peak 92% · low 84% (58d ago) likely → very likely venues agree
24h move ▲ 4.0 pts Katie Hobbs (D)
Traded 24h $15K $107K all time
Resolves by 2026-11-04
Source markets 6 6 markets · mixed

Where the money stands

Katie Hobbs (D) 92% ▲ 4.0
Andy Biggs (R) 8% ▼ 2.0

Source markets for this story

Los Angeles Mayor winner? Kalshi · Nithya Raman 61%
Texas Governor winner? Kalshi · Greg Abbott 74% · -4.0 24h
New York Governor Election Winner Polymarket · Kathy Hochul (D) 96%
California Governor Election Winner Polymarket · Xavier Becerra 96%
Los Angeles Mayoral Election Polymarket · Nithya Raman 60% · -2.9 24h
Arizona Governor Election Winner Polymarket · Katie Hobbs (D) 92% · +4.0 24h
View the market on Polymarket ← Front Page