U.S.Amish Shah (D) on track to win

Amish Shah Is Likely to Flip AZ-01 for Democrats

Source: Polymarket market “AZ-01 House Election Winner”

Amish Shah (D): likely (76%)
Leading outcome Amish Shah (D) 76% Likely · A
24h move ▲ 5.0 pts Amish Shah (D)
Traded 24h $46K $60K all time
Resolves by 2026-11-05
Source markets 8 8 markets · mixed

Where the money stands

Amish Shah (D) 76% ▲ 5.0
Jay Feely (R) 24% ▼ 6.5

Source markets for this story

MT-01 House winner? Kalshi · Aaron Flint 69% · +1.0 24h
PA-01 House winner? Kalshi · Brian Fitzpatrick 62% · +1.0 24h
TX-28 House winner? Kalshi · Henry Cuellar 86% · +1.0 24h
NY-01 House winner? Kalshi · Nick LaLota 79% · +2.0 24h
SC-01 House winner? Kalshi · Jenny Costa Honeycutt 71%
AZ-01 House Election Winner Polymarket · Amish Shah (D) 76% · +5.0 24h
MO-05 House Election Winner Polymarket · Emanuel Cleaver (D) 92% · -2.1 24h
TN-04 House Election Winner Polymarket · Scott DesJarlais (R) 94% · +1.0 24h
View the market on Polymarket ← Front Page