U.S.

Lisa Demuth Will Win the Minnesota Republican Gubernatorial Primary

By Priced In News Staff

Source: Kalshi market “Minnesota Republican gubernatorial primary: Lisa Demuth vote percent”

virtually certain (99%)
Resolved The money put At least 29% at 99% when this article was published. This market has since closed. See the track record →
Leading outcome At least 29% 99% Virtually certain · Stable · C · tracked 68 days
24h move 0.0 pts At least 29%
Traded 24h $30K $84K all time
Resolves by 2027-08-11

Where the money stands

At least 29% 99% 0.0
At least 32% 99% 0.0
At least 35% 99% 0.0
At least 38% 99% 0.0
At least 41% 99% 0.0
At least 44% 13% ▼ 4.0
View the market on Kalshi ← Front Page

More from U.S.

U.S. one clear front-runner

Democrats Are Increasingly Favored to Sweep Congress in the Midterms

Above 52: probably not (36%)

While coverage focuses on individual Senate battlegrounds, the fuller picture is a coordinated Democratic wave: a House flip is very likely, Senate control leans Democratic, and Texas — both its House seat and its Senate race — is tilting blue. The Senate seat-count outcome above 52 remains the soft underbelly of that thesis.

Updated 12:47 PM ET ▲ up overnight
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Republicans Likely Lose the Senate in 2026, With Texas the Decisive Battleground

48: unlikely (18%)

What had been a long-shot Democratic Senate takeover is now the clear directional bet — Texas, where Democrats are favored at 61-62%, is the linchpin; if it flips, the map for a Republican majority collapses entirely.

Updated 5:58 PM ET – barely changed since yesterday
the numbers
traded today $124K venue Kalshi grade C tracked 68 days range 22% (55d ago) – 15% (1d ago) trending in today's news
U.S. wide open

The 2028 Democratic Nomination Race Has No Clear Front-Runner

Gavin Newsom: unlikely (14%)

With Newsom, Ocasio-Cortez, and Ossoff each sitting around 14%, the Democratic Party faces the most wide-open nominating contest in a generation — and on the Republican side, Vance's path to the nomination remains contested enough that the general election is anyone's game.

Updated 1:20 AM ET – barely changed since yesterday
the numbers
traded today $877K markets read 6 venue Kalshi grade A tracked 81 days venues disagree 28.1pp