U.S.

Oliver Larkin Is Virtually Certain to Clear 35% in FL-25's Democratic Primary

By Priced In News Staff

Source: Kalshi market “FL-25 Democratic primary: Oliver Larkin vote percent”

virtually certain (99%)
Leading outcome At least 15% 99% Virtually certain · C
24h move ▲ 1.0 pts At least 15%
Traded 24h $47K $103K all time
Resolves by 2027-08-18

Where the money stands

At least 15% 99% ▲ 1.0
At least 20% 99% ▲ 2.0
At least 25% 99% ▲ 6.0
At least 30% 99% ▲ 18.0
At least 35% 99% ▲ 26.0
At least 10% 64% ▼ 35.0
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U.S.

Byron Donalds Has the Florida GOP Governor Primary Locked Up; Fishback Is Poised to Embarrass

virtually certain (100%)

Donalds is a certainty for the nomination, but Fishback — a longshot outsider — is now expected to clear 9% of the vote, a result that would signal genuine dissatisfaction with the establishment lane inside Florida's Republican electorate.

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Democrats Sweep: a coin flip (46%)

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U.S. wide open

JD Vance Leads a Wide-Open 2028 Presidential Field at Just 21%

JD Vance: unlikely (21%)

A sitting vice president holding a plurality this thin, with the Republican nomination itself only a coin-flip proposition, signals genuine uncertainty about the post-Trump succession — the 2028 race is anyone's to claim on both sides.

Updated 9:08 PM ET – barely changed since yesterday
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