World

Maduro Still Leads Venezuela's Succession Market, but His Hold Has Weakened

Source: Kalshi market “Who will officially lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?”

leaning yes (73%)
Leading outcome Nicolás Maduro 73% Leaning yes · C venues disagree 24.9pp
24h move ▼ 13.0 pts Nicolás Maduro
Traded 24h $65K $5.5M all time
Resolves by 2026-12-31
Source markets 2 2 markets · all agree

Where the money stands

Nicolás Maduro 73% ▼ 13.0
Delcy Rodríguez 29% ▲ 15.0
Jorge Rodríguez 4% 0.0
María Corina Machado 3% ▲ 1.4
Marco Rubio 3% 0.0
Dinorah Figuera 2% 0.0

Source markets for this story

Venezuela leader end of 2026? Polymarket · Nicolás Maduro 65% · -19.6 24h
Who will officially lead Venezuela at the end of 2026? Kalshi · Nicolás Maduro 73% · -13.0 24h
View the market on Kalshi ← Front Page