The 10-Year Treasury Yield Is Virtually Certain to Clear 5% Sunday
Source: Kalshi market “10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 19, 2026?”
virtually certain (99%)
Leading outcome
4.96% or above 99%
Virtually certain · C
likely → virtually certain
24h move
▲
1.0 pts
4.96% or above
Traded 24h
$53K
$78K all time
Resolves by
2026-10-19
Today
Where the money stands
4.96% or above
99%
▲
1.0
4.98% or above
98%
0.0
5% or above
98%
▲
2.0
5.02% or above
95%
▲
8.0
5.04% or above
89%
▲
4.0
5.06% or above
88%
▲
18.0
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