October Unemployment Will Very Likely Exceed 4 Percent
Source: Kalshi market “Unemployment in October”
virtually certain (99%)
Leading outcome
Above 3.7% 99%
Virtually certain · C
24h move
0.0 pts
Above 3.7%
Traded 24h
$112K
$344K all time
Resolves by
2026-11-06
Today
Where the money stands
Above 3.7%
99%
0.0
Above 3.8%
99%
0.0
Above 3.9%
99%
▲
1.0
Above 4.0%
91%
▼
3.0
Above 4.1%
69%
▲
1.0
Above 4.2%
25%
0.0
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