Finance

October Unemployment Will Very Likely Exceed 4 Percent

Source: Kalshi market “Unemployment in October”

virtually certain (99%)
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Leading outcome Above 3.7% 99% Virtually certain · C
24h move 0.0 pts Above 3.7%
Traded 24h $112K $344K all time
Resolves by 2026-11-06 Today

Where the money stands

Above 3.7% 99% 0.0
Above 3.8% 99% 0.0
Above 3.9% 99% ▲ 1.0
Above 4.0% 91% ▼ 3.0
Above 4.1% 69% ▲ 1.0
Above 4.2% 25% 0.0
View the market on Kalshi ← Front Page