U.S.38.8% on track to win

Trump's Approval Rating Likely Holds Near 38.8% Through September

Source: Kalshi market “Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 30, 2026?”

38.8%: likely (75%)
From our archive This story ran in an earlier edition of the paper. It stays on the record at this address; the front page and sections carry only current stories.
Resolved The money put 38.8% at 75% when this article was published. This market has since closed. See the track record →
Leading outcome 38.8% 75% Likely · C · tracked 20 days
24h move 0.0 pts 38.8%
Traded 24h $440K $441K all time
Resolves by 2026-09-30

Where the money stands

38.8% 75% 0.0
38.7% 18% 0.0
38.6% 3% 0.0
Below 38.6% 1% 0.0
38.9% 1% 0.0
39.0% 1% 0.0
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