U.S.38.2% on track to win

Trump's Approval Rating Is Very Likely Locked at 38.2% by October

By Priced In News Staff

Source: Kalshi market “Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 3, 2026?”

38.2%: very likely (90%)
From our archive This story ran in an earlier edition of the paper. It stays on the record at this address; the front page and sections carry only current stories.
Resolved The money put 38.2% at 90% when this article was published. This market has since closed. See the track record →
Leading outcome 38.2% 90% Very likely · C · tracked 17 days
24h move 0.0 pts 38.2%
Traded 24h $183K $184K all time
Resolves by 2026-10-03

Where the money stands

38.2% 90% 0.0
38.1% 10% 0.0
Above 38.6% 2% 0.0
Below 38.0% 1% 0.0
38.0% 1% 0.0
38.3% 1% 0.0
View the market on Kalshi ← Front Page

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