Chuck Schumer Is Likely to Lead Senate Democrats in the 120th Congress
Source: Kalshi market “120th Congress: Who will be Senate Majority Leader?”
Chuck Schumer: likely (86%)
Leading outcome
Chuck Schumer 86%
Likely · Rising · A · tracked 8 days
peak 91% (5d ago) · low 79% (2d ago)
very likely → likely
2 tier changes over tracking period
venues agree
24h move
▲
2.0 pts
Chuck Schumer
Traded 24h
$1.3M
$3.1M all time
Resolves by
2028-01-03
Source markets
3
3 markets · all agree
Where the money stands
Chuck Schumer
86%
▲
2.0
Chris Van Hollen
14%
0.0
John Barrasso
2%
0.0
John Thune
1%
0.0
Brian Schatz
1%
▼
1.0
Tom Cotton
1%
0.0
Source markets for this story
Next Senate Democratic Leader?
Kalshi · Chuck Schumer 84% · -2.0 24h
120th Congress: Who will be Senate Majority Leader?
Kalshi · Chuck Schumer 86% · +2.0 24h
Next Senate Majority Leader?
Polymarket · Chuck Schumer 86% · +1.0 24h
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