Taylor Swift and Sabrina Carpenter Will Headline the 2026 MTV VMAs

By Priced In News Staff

virtually certain (99%)

Leading outcome Sabrina Carpenter 99% Virtually certain · B probably not → virtually certain venues disagree 52.0pp

24h move ▲ 4.0 pts Sabrina Carpenter

Traded 24h $50K $112K all time

Resolves by 2026-12-31

Where the money stands

Sabrina Carpenter 99% ▲ 4.0

Bruno Mars 99% ▲ 16.0

Charli xcx 99% ▲ 1.0

Troye Sivan 97% 0.0

Taylor Swift 82% ▲ 79.0

PinkPantheress 74% ▲ 1.0

MTV Video Music Awards: Video of the Year Kalshi · Taylor Swift 78% · +13.0 24h

MTV Video Music Awards 2026: Who will perform Kalshi · Sabrina Carpenter 99% · +4.0 24h

MTV Video Music Awards: Best New Artist Kalshi · Sienna Spiro 86% · +12.0 24h

MTV Video Music Awards: Artist of The Year Kalshi · Tie 65% · +63.0 24h

MTV Video Music Awards: Song of The Year Kalshi · RAYE 47% · +29.0 24h

VMA Artist of the Year 2026 Polymarket · Madonna 50% · +9.5 24h

VMA Best Latin 2026 Polymarket · Choka Choka (Anitta and Shakira) 92% · +55.0 24h

VMA Video of the Year 2026 Polymarket · The Fate of Ophelia (Taylor Swift) 70% · +19.5 24h