Arts / Culturea real race

John Malkovich Leads a Wide-Open Best Actor Race

Source: Kalshi market “Oscar Winner: Best Actor”

John Malkovich: probably not (35%)
Resolved The money put Tom Cruise at 31% when this article was published. This market has since closed. See the track record →
Leading outcome John Malkovich 35% Probably not · Rising · C · tracked 14 days peak 39% (6d ago) · low 26% (13d ago)
24h move ▲ 1.0 pts John Malkovich
Traded 24h $51K $982K all time
Resolves by 2027-12-31
Source markets 2 2 markets · mixed

Where the money stands

John Malkovich 35% ▲ 1.0
Matt Damon 25% ▼ 1.0
Andrew Scott 18% ▲ 1.0
Tom Cruise 14% 0.0
Robert Pattison 8% ▼ 3.0
Anthony Ippolito 3% ▲ 1.0

Source markets for this story

Oscar Winner: Best Picture Kalshi · The Odyssey 52% · +2.0 24h
Oscar Winner: Best Actor Kalshi · John Malkovich 35% · +1.0 24h
View the market on Kalshi ← Front Page