U.S.

Mike Rounds Is Virtually Certain to Cruise to Reelection in South Dakota

By Priced In News Staff

Source: Kalshi market “South Dakota Senate margin of victory”

virtually certain (100%)
Leading outcome Rounds, 3+ pts 100% Virtually certain · B leaning yes → virtually certain venues disagree 21.8pp
24h move ▲ 0.7 pts Rounds, 3+ pts
Traded 24h $169K $228K all time
Resolves by 2027-11-03
Source markets 24 24 markets · mixed

Where the money stands

Rounds, 3+ pts 100% ▲ 0.7
Rounds, 5+ pts 100% 0.4
Rounds, 11+ pts 100% ▲ 0.8
Rounds, 7+ pts 100% 0.1
Rounds, 9+ pts 100% 0.2
Rounds, 13+ pts 100% ▲ 1.1

Source markets for this story

Florida Senate margin of victory Kalshi · Moody, 1+ pts 100% · +0.6 24h
Michigan Senate margin of victory Kalshi · El-Sayed, 1+ pts 100%
Texas Senate margin of victory Kalshi · James Talarico, 0.5+ pts 100%
Florida Governor margin of victory Kalshi · Donalds, 0.5+ pts 99% · +5.7 24h
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Higher strikes) Kalshi · 56 88% · +3.0 24h
Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) Polymarket · None 96% · +5.9 24h
Georgia Senate margin of victory Kalshi · Ossoff, 2+ pts 100%
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the 2026 election? (Directional) Kalshi · At least 46 99%
Texas Governor margin of victory Kalshi · Hinojosa, 2+ pts 100%
North Carolina Senate margin of victory Kalshi · Cooper, 1+ pts 100%
Arkansas Senate margin of victory Kalshi · Cotton, 2+ pts 100% · +0.8 24h
Wyoming Governor margin of victory Kalshi · Barlow, 19+ pts 100% · +0.9 24h
Republican Senate seats after the midterms (Lower Brackets) Polymarket · 44 95% · +14.0 24h
South Dakota Senate margin of victory Kalshi · Rounds, 3+ pts 100% · +0.7 24h
Louisiana Senate margin of victory Kalshi · Letlow, 1+ pts 46% · -49.0 24h
Closest Senate race in 2026? Kalshi · Mississippi 91% · -2.0 24h
Tennessee Senate margin of victory Kalshi · Hagerty, 4+ pts 100% · +0.8 24h
Maine Senate margin of victory Kalshi · Jackson, 0.5+ pts 100%
Wyoming margin of victory Kalshi · Gray, 19+ pts 99% · +38.0 24h
South Carolina Senate margin of victory Kalshi · Andrews, 1+ pts 100%
South Dakota margin of victory Kalshi · Jackley, 10+ pts 100% · +0.8 24h
Texas Senate Election Margin of Victory Polymarket · Talarico 12%+ 97% · +5.9 24h
Kansas Governor Election Winner Polymarket · Cindy Holscher (D) 100%
Next Senate Majority Leader? Polymarket · Chuck Schumer 90% · +1.0 24h
View the market on Kalshi ← Front Page

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traded today $337K markets read 7 venue Kalshi grade A tracked 95 days range 100% (73d ago) – 31% (60d ago) trending in today's news likely → a coin flip 8 tier changes venues disagree 9.0pp