Worldleaning Claude

Claude Leads a Nearly Tied AI Race Heading Into Year-End

By Priced In News Staff

Source: Kalshi market “Best AI at the end of 2026?”

Claude: a coin flip (47%)
Resolved The money put Claude at 69% when this article was published. This market has since closed. See the track record →
Leading outcome Claude 47% A coin flip · Stable · A · tracked 70 days peak 76% (8d ago) · low 49% probably not → a coin flip 3 tier changes over tracking period
24h move 0.3 pts Claude
Traded 24h $128K $14.0M all time
Resolves by 2026-12-31
Source markets 7 7 markets · mixed

Where the money stands

Claude 47% 0.3
Gemini 42% ▲ 4.6
ChatGPT 9% 0.5
Grok 3% 0.1
Muse Spark 2% ▲ 0.6
Kimi 1% 0.0

Source markets for this story

Best AI at the end of 2026? Kalshi · Claude 47%
OpenAI market share this week Kalshi · Above 14.1% 97% · -2.0 24h
Which company has the best AI model end of October? Polymarket · Google 69% · +1.6 24h
Anthropic market share this week Kalshi · Above 2.1% 99%
DeepSeek market share this week Kalshi · Above 21.3% 98% · +6.0 24h
Which company has best AI model end of 2026? Polymarket · Anthropic 46% · -2.5 24h
Which company has the best AI model end of November? Polymarket · Google 56% · -4.0 24h
View the market on Kalshi ← Front Page

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