U.S.Summer Lee on track to win

Summer Lee Is Very Likely to Hold PA-12

By Priced In News Staff

Summer Lee: very likely (96%)

Leading outcome Summer Lee 96% Very likely · B venues disagree 35.5pp

24h move ▲ 0.8 pts Summer Lee

Traded 24h $53K $58K all time

Resolves by 2027-11-03

Where the money stands

Summer Lee 96% ▲ 0.8

James Hayes 8% 0.0

Which party will win the U.S. House? Kalshi · Democratic Party 86%

2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power? Kalshi · D-House, D-Senate 53% · +2.0 24h

New Hampshire Senate winner? Kalshi · Chris Pappas 82% · -1.0 24h

Texas Senate winner? Kalshi · James Talarico 54% · +2.0 24h

Which party will win the House in 2026? Polymarket · Democratic Party 88%

Which party will win the U.S. Senate? Kalshi · Democratic Party 55% · +2.0 24h

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms Polymarket · Democrats Sweep 57% · +5.0 24h

Will Mitch McConnell resign his office before the midterms? Kalshi · Yes 6% · +2.0 24h

Which party will win the Senate in 2026? Polymarket · Democratic Party 58% · +5.0 24h

Maine-Texas Senate Combo Kalshi · James Talarico and Troy Jackson 46% · +3.0 24h

How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? Kalshi · Above 52 28% · +3.0 24h

PA-12 House winner? Kalshi · Summer Lee 96% · +0.8 24h

Texas Senate Election Winner Polymarket · James Talarico (D) 56% · +3.5 24h

Iowa Senate Election Winner Polymarket · Ashley Hinson (R) 57% · -1.0 24h

Ohio Senate Election Winner Polymarket · Sherrod Brown (D) 56% · +3.0 24h