U.S.Raymond Smith Jr. on track to win

Raymond Smith Jr. Is Likely to Flip North Carolina's Third Congressional District

By Priced In News Staff

Raymond Smith Jr.: likely (76%)

Leading outcome Raymond Smith Jr. 76% Likely · Falling · A · tracked 13 days peak 76% · low 55% (5d ago) venues disagree 3.5pp

24h move ▲ 6.0 pts Raymond Smith Jr.

Traded 24h $1.0M $5.8M all time

Resolves by 2027-11-03

Where the money stands

Raymond Smith Jr. 76% ▲ 6.0

Greg Murphy 24% ▼ 7.0

NC-03 House winner? Kalshi · Raymond Smith Jr. 76% · +6.0 24h

2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot) Kalshi · Democrats, 14 to 16% 71% · +50.0 24h

CA-23 House winner? Kalshi · Jay Obernolte 93% · +6.0 24h

Who will be the next new Speaker of the House? Kalshi · Hakeem Jeffries 94% · +15.5 24h

NC-03 House Election Winner Polymarket · Raymond Smith Jr. (D) 78% · +10.8 24h

AZ-02 House Election Winner Polymarket · Eli Crane (R) 96% · +28.3 24h

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory Polymarket · Democrats 14-16% 72% · +53.2 24h

CA-23 House Election Winner Polymarket · Jay Obernolte (R) 94% · +8.1 24h

AK-AL House Election Winner Polymarket · Republican Party 96% · +1.4 24h

Speaker of the House after the midterms? Polymarket · Hakeem Jeffries 94% · -1.1 24h

ME-02 House Election Winner Polymarket · Paul LePage (R) 100%

NC-05 House Election Winner Polymarket · Chuck Hubbard (D) 96% · +1.8 24h