U.S.

Hegseth Is Very Likely Out as Defense Secretary Before Term's End

By Priced In News Staff

Source: Kalshi market “Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?”

very likely (95%)
Resolved The money put Yes at 7% when this article was published. This market has since closed. See the track record →
Leading outcome Before Jan 1, 2029 95% Very likely · Rising · A · tracked 91 days peak 96% · low 7% (90d ago)
24h move ▲ 2.0 pts Before Jan 1, 2029
Traded 24h $409K $893K all time
Resolves by 2029-01-01
Source markets 5 5 markets · mixed

Where the money stands

Before Jan 1, 2029 95% ▲ 2.0
Before Jan 1, 2028 91% ▼ 6.0
Before Jul 1, 2028 91% ▼ 2.0
Before Oct 1, 2027 90% ▼ 3.0
Before Jul 1, 2027 85% ▼ 3.0
Before Apr 1, 2027 79% ▼ 1.0

Source markets for this story

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense? Kalshi · Before Jan 1, 2029 95% · +2.0 24h
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Polymarket · Yes 50% · +5.0 24h
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30? Polymarket · Yes 34% · +0.5 24h
Pete Hegseth departure announced? Kalshi · Before Jan 1, 2027 62% · +8.0 24h
Pete Hegseth impeached by...? Polymarket · June 30, 2027 50% · +8.0 24h
View the market on Kalshi ← Front Page

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