Finance

Core CPI Is Likely Positive in October, but Conviction Has Softened

By Priced In News Staff

likely (88%)

Leading outcome Above 0.0% 88% Likely · A virtually certain → likely

24h move ▼ 8.0 pts Above 0.0%

Traded 24h $367K $538K all time

Resolves by 2026-11-10

Where the money stands

Above 0.0% 88% ▼ 8.0

Above 0.1% 76% ▼ 11.0

Above 0.2% 49% ▲ 2.0

Above 0.3% 9% ▼ 8.0

Above 0.5% 8% ▲ 6.0

Above 0.4% 7% ▲ 3.0

CPI core in October Kalshi · Above 0.0% 88% · -8.0 24h

CPI in October Kalshi · Above -0.1% 95%

Core CPI MoM - September 2026 Polymarket · 0.6%+ 0%