Curiosities

Colombian Workers Are Unlikely to See Real Wage Gains Above 4 Points in 2027

By Priced In News Staff

Source: Kalshi market “Colombia minimum wage growth minus inflation in 2027”

unlikely (20%)
Leading outcome Yes 20% Unlikely · C
24h move ▲ 2.0 pts Yes
Traded 24h $118K $123K all time
Resolves by 2027-02-15
View the market on Kalshi ← Front Page

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Curiosities odds favor 2–6s

A Brisk Handshake Now Looks Like the Trump-Xi Script

2–6s: leaning yes (71%)

What had been very unlikely is now the leaning expectation: a 2-to-6-second handshake, the diplomatic equivalent of a firm-but-cool greeting, suggests the summit is being choreographed for substance over warmth — with Jensen Huang's near-certain presence at the state dinner signaling that tech access, not just optics, is the real agenda.

Updated 2:58 PM ET ▲ up sharply overnight
the numbers
traded today $62K venue Polymarket grade C range 74% (0d ago) – 32% (1d ago) trending in today's news a coin flip → leaning yes
Curiosities

A Kanye West Russia Concert Remains Unlikely Before October 31

unlikely (16%)

The fact that nearly $660,000 has been staked on whether a rapper performs in a sanctioned country tells its own story — the bet is less about music than about what cultural figures will do to court or provoke a geopolitical audience, and for now the money says it doesn't happen.

Updated 6:48 AM ET ▲ up overnight
the numbers
traded today $33K venue Polymarket grade C tracked 32 days range 58% (28d ago) – 7% (6d ago) unlikely → very unlikely 8 tier changes
Curiosities

Switzerland's Neutrality Initiative Is All But Certain to Fail

virtually impossible (2%)

Swiss voters look set to reject the neutrality initiative decisively, a signal that even in a historically neutral country, the appetite to constitutionally constrain foreign-policy flexibility has collapsed — while the initiative trends in headlines, the money has never taken it seriously.

Updated 7:57 AM ET – barely changed since yesterday
the numbers
traded today $15K venue Polymarket grade D resolves in 2 days trending in today's news virtually impossible → very unlikely