California's Insurer of Last Resort Will Almost Certainly Pass 690,000 Policies
Source: Kalshi market “California FAIR Plan policies in force on September 30, 2026”
virtually certain (99%)
Leading outcome
Above 680,000 99%
Virtually certain · Stable · C · tracked 51 days
24h move
▲
1.0 pts
Above 680,000
Traded 24h
$74K
$248K all time
Resolves by
2026-11-16
Where the money stands
Above 680,000
99%
▲
1.0
Above 690,000
97%
▲
1.0
Above 700,000
19%
▼
64.0
Above 710,000
2%
▼
12.0
Above 720,000
1%
▼
5.0
Above 730,000
1%
▼
2.0
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