Curiosities

California's Insurer of Last Resort Will Almost Certainly Pass 690,000 Policies

Source: Kalshi market “California FAIR Plan policies in force on September 30, 2026”

virtually certain (99%)
Resolved The money put Above 680,000 at 98% when this article was published. This market has since closed. See the track record →
Leading outcome Above 680,000 99% Virtually certain · Stable · C · tracked 51 days
24h move ▲ 1.0 pts Above 680,000
Traded 24h $74K $248K all time
Resolves by 2026-11-16

Where the money stands

Above 680,000 99% ▲ 1.0
Above 690,000 97% ▲ 1.0
Above 700,000 19% ▼ 64.0
Above 710,000 2% ▼ 12.0
Above 720,000 1% ▼ 5.0
Above 730,000 1% ▼ 2.0
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