Finance

Bitcoin Is Very Likely Headed Higher, Not Lower, by Year-End

Source: Kalshi market “Will BTC hit $50,000 before $100,000?”

very unlikely (9%)
Leading outcome Yes 9% Very unlikely · Stable · A · tracked 42 days peak 39% (25d ago) · low 7% 9 tier changes over tracking period
24h move 0.0 pts Yes
Traded 24h $98K $1.9M all time
Resolves by 2027-01-01
Source markets 17 17 markets · mixed

Source markets for this story

What price will Bitcoin hit in September? Polymarket · ↓ 82,500 1% · -47.4 24h
BTC price on Sep 30, 2026 at 11pm EDT? Kalshi · $74,100 or above 100%
Bitcoin above ___ on October 1? Polymarket · 74,000 100%
What price will Bitcoin hit September 28-October 4? Polymarket · ↓ 82,000 52% · -12.0 24h
What price will Bitcoin hit on September 30? Polymarket · ↓ 82,000 1%
BTC price on Oct 2, 2026 at 5pm EDT? Kalshi · $72,000 or above 99%
Bitcoin price at the end of 2026 Kalshi · $60,000+ 88% · -6.4 24h
BTC price on Oct 1, 2026 at 5pm EDT? Kalshi · $73,000 or above 100%
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026? Polymarket · ↑ 90,000 68% · +3.0 24h
Bitcoin above ___ on October 2? Polymarket · 74,000 100% · +0.6 24h
Bitcoin above ___ on October 3? Polymarket · 74,000 99%
Bitcoin above ___ on October 5? Polymarket · 74,000 99%
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 1? Polymarket · Yes 26% · -24.0 24h
Bitcoin price on October 1? Polymarket · 82,000-84,000 62% · +18.5 24h
Bitcoin above ___ on October 6? Polymarket · 74,000 99% · +0.7 24h
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