Bitcoin Is Very Likely Headed Higher, Not Lower, by Year-End
Source: Kalshi market “Will BTC hit $50,000 before $100,000?”
very unlikely (9%)
Leading outcome
Yes 9%
Very unlikely · Stable · A · tracked 42 days
peak 39% (25d ago) · low 7%
9 tier changes over tracking period
24h move
0.0 pts
Yes
Traded 24h
$98K
$1.9M all time
Resolves by
2027-01-01
Source markets
17
17 markets · mixed
Source markets for this story
What price will Bitcoin hit in September?
Polymarket · ↓ 82,500 1% · -47.4 24h
BTC price on Sep 30, 2026 at 11pm EDT?
Kalshi · $74,100 or above 100%
Bitcoin above ___ on October 1?
Polymarket · 74,000 100%
What price will Bitcoin hit September 28-October 4?
Polymarket · ↓ 82,000 52% · -12.0 24h
What price will Bitcoin hit on September 30?
Polymarket · ↓ 82,000 1%
BTC price on Oct 2, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
Kalshi · $72,000 or above 99%
Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
Kalshi · $60,000+ 88% · -6.4 24h
BTC price on Oct 1, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
Kalshi · $73,000 or above 100%
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
Polymarket · ↑ 90,000 68% · +3.0 24h
Bitcoin above ___ on October 2?
Polymarket · 74,000 100% · +0.6 24h
BTC 15 min · $83,460.64 target
Kalshi · Yes 11%
Will BTC hit $50,000 before $100,000?
Kalshi · Yes 9%
Bitcoin above ___ on October 3?
Polymarket · 74,000 99%
Bitcoin above ___ on October 5?
Polymarket · 74,000 99%
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 1?
Polymarket · Yes 26% · -24.0 24h
Bitcoin price on October 1?
Polymarket · 82,000-84,000 62% · +18.5 24h
Bitcoin above ___ on October 6?
Polymarket · 74,000 99% · +0.7 24h
The Money Talks —
Bitcoin Is Going Back to $75,000 — The Only Question Is When
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