Trump's Approval Rating Is Very Likely Locked Near 38.3 This Fall
Source: Kalshi market “Trump's approval rating on Oct 2, 2026?”
38.2 to 38.4: very likely (93%)
Leading outcome
38.2 to 38.4 93%
Very likely · C · tracked 17 days
probably not → very likely
24h move
▲
54.0 pts
38.2 to 38.4
Traded 24h
$65K
$136K all time
Resolves by
2026-10-02
Where the money stands
38.2 to 38.4
93%
▲
54.0
Below 38.2
4%
▼
17.0
38.5 to 38.7
1%
▼
37.0
38.8 to 39.0
1%
▼
8.0
39.1 to 39.3
1%
▼
1.0
39.4 to 39.6
1%
0.0
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