U.S.odds favor Brian Fitzpatrick

Brian Fitzpatrick Leans Toward Holding PA-1 for Republicans

By Priced In News Staff

Source: Kalshi market “PA-01 House winner?”

Brian Fitzpatrick: leaning yes (62%)
Leading outcome Brian Fitzpatrick 62% Leaning yes · Stable · B · tracked 6 days
24h move 0.0 pts Brian Fitzpatrick
Traded 24h $53K $139K all time
Resolves by 2027-11-03
Source markets 4 4 markets · mixed

Where the money stands

Brian Fitzpatrick 62% 0.0
Bob Harvie 37% ▼ 7.0

Source markets for this story

FL-14 House winner? Kalshi · Kathy Castor 63% · -4.0 24h
NY-01 House winner? Kalshi · Nick LaLota 77% · +3.0 24h
MT-01 House winner? Kalshi · Aaron Flint 68% · +3.0 24h
PA-01 House winner? Kalshi · Brian Fitzpatrick 62%
View the market on Kalshi ← Front Page

More from U.S.

U.S. Democratic Party on track to win

Democrats Are Likely to Retake the House in 2026

Democratic Party: likely (88%)

A House flip looks probable, but full Democratic control of Congress remains a different, narrower bet — the Senate leans Republican, making unified Democratic government unlikely even if the House flips, and restraining what any new House majority could actually deliver.

Updated 1:07 PM ET – barely changed since yesterday
the numbers
traded today $41K markets read 6 venue Polymarket grade B tracked 50 days very likely → likely 4 tier changes venues disagree 35.5pp
U.S.

Trump Attacking Kevin Warsh Is Now a Coin Flip

a coin flip (45%)

What had been probably not is now genuinely uncertain — a meaningful shift that signals real anxiety about the Fed chair relationship, even as the timing markets show most of the risk concentrated in the back half of the year.

Updated 12:34 AM ET ▲ up overnight
the numbers
traded today $424K venue Kalshi grade C trending in today's news probably not → a coin flip
U.S. odds favor Abdul El-Sayed (D)

Abdul El-Sayed Increasingly Favors to Win Michigan's Senate Race

Abdul El-Sayed (D): leaning yes (64%)

A Democratic lean in Michigan is hardening, not softening — if it holds, it narrows Republicans' path to a Senate majority and signals the state is not the easy pickup the GOP once counted on.

Updated 8:28 AM ET ▲ up overnight
the numbers
traded today $16K markets read 14 venue Polymarket grade A tracked 44 days range 66% (0d ago) – 56% (32d ago)