An Atlantic Hurricane in September Now Appears Possible After Odds Shift
Source: Polymarket market “When will the first hurricane form in the Atlantic in 2026?”
No Atlantic hurricane will form in September 2026: likely (77%)
Leading outcome
No Atlantic hurricane will form in September 2026 77%
Likely · B
leaning yes → likely
24h move
▼
6.0 pts
No Atlantic hurricane will form in September 2026
Traded 24h
$11K
$37K all time
Resolves by
2026-10-01
Source markets
2
2 markets · mixed
Where the money stands
No Atlantic hurricane will form in September 2026
77%
▼
6.0
September 21 to September 25, 2026
13%
▲
2.5
September 26 to September 30, 2026
11%
▲
6.5
September 16 to September 20, 2026
2%
▲
2.2
September 11 to September 15, 2026
0%
0.0
Source markets for this story
What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year?
Kalshi · Gonzalo 28% · -2.0 24h
When will the first hurricane form in the Atlantic in 2026?
Polymarket · No Atlantic hurricane will form in September 2026 77% · -6.0 24h
Get an alert when Atlantic Hurricane 2026 moves.
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